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You should also consider wet-bulb events. Nearly 100% mortality. Would depopulate most of SEA and the tropical regions of Africa and Latin America, well before any major desertification happens. When that happens only HVAC can save you, but many of this places dont even have reliable electrical grids.

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12 feet under ground it is the same temperature all year round. Mole people solves this.

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Predictions of desertification have been prone to exaggeration without payoff, like sea level rise. My guess is that the Middle East continues to dry, but much of the tropics remain humid.

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It's soil depletion that's the problem, not aridification.

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In theory, soil depletion won’t become a significant issue until the supply of nitrogen fertilizer runs out.

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