the deep left won.
dilution and realignment.
This week, Democrats got gangbanged. The wokesters are lashing out, and threatening to commit suicide.
Many of these people are anti-white, hysterical, and mentally ill. And yet, despite it all (or maybe because of it), the deep left still won.
If we can look past the most superficial level of elections (Trump won 50.9% of voters, Kamala won 47.6%), the story of 2024 is yet another victory of liberal academia, institutionalism, and culture. Trump won by moderation and concession, and set precedents that will determine the future of the Republican Party. Let me explain.
white nationalism.
In 2016, white nationalists like Steve Sailer were promoting the idea of a “Great Replacement.” In the mind of Sailer and other conservatives, Hispanics, blacks, and Asians had liberal “genes,” whereas whites had conservative “genes.” As a result, mass immigration would turn Texas blue, just like it turned California blue, and Republicans would never win a national election. This would usher in a permanent Democratic majority, a one-party state, Zimbabwean death camps, South African white genocide, etc etc.
Richard Hanania has done a very good job of humiliating these people, and I recommend you read him.
But to add my own comments: Democrats didn’t lose minorities; Trump won them with multi-racial marketing. Vivek, Usha, and Tim Scott won the day. Hilariously, Trump sought the support of rappers accused of murder.
Trump didn’t win more white voters. He actually did worse with white voters than he did in 2020.
When Obama won in 2008, white nationalism was super-charged. In the minds of these young white men, Ferguson, Missouri represented the legacy of Obama: rampaging zombies bursting out of containment, threatening to “burn this bitch down.” Young white men were repulsed and shocked: “this isn’t our country anymore. We need to take our country back!” Trump 2016, with his attacks on Mexican rapists and Muslim terrorists, was the result of eight years of pent up rage and disgust.
Yet under Trump, the country continued to become less white. Trump did not engage in mass deportations. He did not secure the border. He did not boost the native-born birth rate. White demographic decline continued.
Trump’s second term will be defined by increased legal immigration. In relative terms, Asian immigration decreased under Biden, but under Trump 2.0, we should expect more Viveks and Ushas. These sort of immigrants will drive down white collar wages, and worsen life for the American middle class.
Specifically, Trump’s Asian immigration will hit STEM Americans the hardest, not DEI Americans. If you studied computer science, get ready to have your job stolen by Trump’s migrant flood. If you studied gender studies, your job prospects will be unaffected. Wordcels won’t be hurt by Asian Americans, but STEM Americans will get crushed. You’re welcome!
The Republican party is going to only get browner from here. Multi-culturalists won. White nationalists lost.
“the normal gay vote”
Conservatives imagine that the Republican party is going to “fight woke.” Instead, Trump is going to normalize gays, and fight to win the support of “normal people” like Caitlin Jenner.
Yes, that is a photo of Trump smiling as his underage granddaughter is “groped” by a 75 year old trans woman. Elon Musk, whose transgender daughter hates and disowns him, is smiling and hugging this trans woman.
If this is the Republican party in 2024, what do you think is going to happen in 2028? Is this what winning looks like? Conservatives who thought that Trump would “put the woke away” are in denial. Instead, it’s going to be “based, hot conservative trans women” against androgynous non-binary xe/xirs. Thank you Elon Musk and Donald Trump!
abortion.
Trump won by removing abortion bans from the Republican platform. He had his wife publish a book (ghostwritten) to approve abortion. Regarding her liberal views on abortion, Melania stated that Donald “lets me be who I am.” This was a coordinated, artificial, and meaningful attack on the pro-life movement. The pro-life movement is dead, and Donald Trump killed it.
When I confront conservatives with this fact, they lie and distort facts. They claim that pro-life voters won in Florida.
When 57% of Florida voters favor the right to abortion, and pro-lifers are claiming that as a victory, you know the copium supply is running low.
Public opinion is monodirectional on this issue. Whereas only 71% of Democrats supported abortion in 2010, now, 86% of Democrats support it. Whereas only 54% of independents supported abortion in 2010, now, 67% of independents support it. Overall, 64% of Americans said “abortion should be legal in most or all cases,” up from 54% in 2010.
Ballot measures in 2026 are going to continue to defeat abortion bans. Conservatives will very soon be waking up to a world in which Roe v. Wade is enshrined into law. Abortion rights are the new gay marriage. Conservatives stay losing. The deep left keeps winning.
Economic populism.
In her debate with Trump, Kamala touted her endorsement by Goldman Sachs and the Warton School of finance. This was a huge departure from Biden’s “made in Scranton” working-class aesthetic. Working class whites and Hispanics listened to her, and shifted even more toward Trump.
Trump promised a 10% tariff, and Democrats responded by claiming he was “raising taxes” and “increasing the federal deficit.” They intended that to be a scary charge, like “fascist,” but it ended up being a compliment in the minds of poor Americans.
Kamala won upper-middle class white people. It didn’t matter. The rust belt swing states decided the election, and within those states, it was poor, uneducated, low-information voters who decided the election.
Trump proved, once again, that the candidate who is perceived as more of an economic populist will win. That’s a victory for the ideological left, not the free market right.
Over the next four years, Trump will either deliver on these promises or be uncovered as a fraud. If he follows through, the Republican party will drift further away from Paul Ryan and Goldman Sachs and further toward Bernie Sanders and FDR. If his rhetoric turns out to be empty, Democrats have an opportunity in 2028 to return to the winning Biden strategy (with a younger candidate). In either case, this election represents a loss for principled conservatives.
Education.
Kamala won a blow-out victory among educated Americans, improving on Biden’s victory in 2020. Unfortunately for Democrats, due to the electoral college, educated Americans are underrepresented in swing states such as Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
But nationally and in the long term, education is important. If you don’t believe me, go read Glenn at State of Exception. He has a great article on why PhDs matter, and why the most educated Americans have a competitive advantage over non-educated Americans in the world of ideas and culture.
If you want to know where the FBI, CIA, big media, journalists, and academics are trending, you have to look at the voting patterns of educated Americans. In 2024, educated Americans continued to shift left. This is very bad for conservatives in the long run.
Conservatives believe they don’t need an intelligentsia, but this is wishful thinking. Elite intellectuals, not dumb demographics, determine destiny. In the long run, small numbers of smart people beat large numbers of dumb people. If you don’t believe me, look at Israel and the Jewish people.
Religion.
The Christian right were the cucks in this election. They sat in the corner of the Republican National Convention and watched as atheists, porn stars, Sikhs, and Hindus took over their party.
During the first Trump term, white evangelical Protestants went from 15.3% of the population to 14.6% of the population. Trump can’t save these people, even if he wanted to.
The statistics get much worse for Christians when we break things down by age. The decline of Christian nationalism is baked into the cake. As Boomers continue to die off over the next four years, Evangelicals will be increasingly marginalized into the corner, fighting for crumbs falling from the mouths of the religiously unaffiliated.
Between 2011 and 2016, white Protestants gave up on enforcing Christian morality. They went from the party of Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum to the party of Trump. They stopped fighting gay marriage, and refocused on fringe marginal issues like “transgender surgery for minors.” Interestingly, over the same period, unaffiliated voters became slightly more conservative.
The Christian right tried to protest Trump in this election. They claimed he was too liberal, too pro-abortion. They rejected his embrace of gay conservatives like Dave Rubin, Scott Pressler, Ryan Girdusky, and Rick Grinnell. Christian nationalist Nick Fuentes threatened a “groyper war” to defeat Trump in Michigan, and then pathetically gave up when he realized that his followers are all bark and no bite.
The Trump 2024 coalition was Elon Musk (a Reddit atheist), Tulsi Gabbard (a Hindu), RFK (a liberal hippie environmentalist), Vivek (another Hindu), Kushner (Jewish), JD Vance (married to a Hindu), Peter Thiel (gay), Steven Cheung (Chinese immigrant), Susan Wiles (divorced), Jason Miller (public extramarital affair), and Stephen Miller (Jewish).
The idea that Trump in 2024 represented the victory of the Christian right is something that only brain-dead chuds and hysterical libs could believe. The Republican Party is no longer the party of Bush. Going forward, it will be a party of watered down ecumenical deism. Vivek’s insistence that “there’s one true God” is vague and meaningless. What he actually means is this:
“Can I be a President who can promote Christianity across the country? I can't... I don't think that's what we should want a US President to do either.”
Christian nationalism is dead, and Trump killed it.
conclusion.
The Republicans moved to the left on religion; on abortion; on LGBTQ; on economics; on race; and on immigration. The Republican Party under Trump has a new motto:
“For every Karen we lose, we're going to win a Jamal and an Enrique.”
A Kamala victory would have emboldened the far right. “See? We told you a moderate message wouldn’t work. We need to return to conservative principles.” A Trump victory sent the opposite message.
Republicans in 2028 will double-down on the Trump victory by embracing LEGAL immigration, abortion, based trans girls, Judeo-Hindu syncretism, divorce, and multi-racialism. Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy will battle it out to stand next to Usha Vance on the 2028 ticket. This is MAGA. Thank you Donald Trump!
This is an old story. Nixon’s victory in 1968 defeated the segregationist movement. Reagan’s victory in 1980 marginalized sovereign citizens and white nationalist terrorists. Trump’s victory in 2024 means that white Christian America will continue to go quietly into the night. The DHS under Trump will continue to promote the idea that “white supremacists are the greatest terror threat,” just as they did during his first term.
Meanwhile, college educated whites will continue to wed themselves closer to liberalism. 2024 has proven that, despite a “vibe shift” among our poor white-and-brown underclass, America’s educated and intellectual class continues a slide toward the left. In the long term, smart people win.
There will be some disappointing policy decisions under Trump. He will probably give Ukraine to Putin, and might even recognize an Israeli annexation of the West Bank. He might simultaneously abolish the EPA while letting RFK run buck-wild against vaccines. In the worst case scenario, he will abolish democracy and appoint JD Vance as the new king of America. In that situation, I expect Vance to reign for 30 years, similar to Francisco Franco.
But like Spain after Franco, I expect America to emerge from fascism more liberal than ever before. Christianity will continue to die, white people will continue their demographic decline, and trans people will be normalized. Trump 2024 is a pyrrhic victory for the right.
The right doesn’t control media, education, or the FBI. Instead, they continue to alienate and drive anyway with a brain, while embracing the dumbest and poorest elements of our society. Trump running to the center means that Republicans can only win when they concede to the left. Conservatives have deluded themselves into thinking “Trump is /ourguy/” but their delusions will be short lived. America’s religious revolution will continue, and with it, the deep left will advance.
You're assuming though that most Christians think of Trump as them "taking over". I don't think they do, and I certainly don't (though I'm British so take with a pinch of salt). On the contrary, I interpret continued evangelical support for Trump (in spite of his liberal values) as a sign that evangelicalism has given up on the culture and just wants to carve out its own space. A sort of Benedict option, you could say.
The assumption being that, yes, Trump is liberal but he'll at least let us practice our religion in peace. He'll give us parental rights over our children's education, medical decisions etc. He'll ensure we don't get fired for expressing the wrong views at work. I think that's all most evangelicals want at this stage and they're happy to form political alliance with anyone who will support them in that regard.
Republicans have always supported high-skill immigration. Trump is not moving to the left on immigration — before Trump, many Republicans were supporting all immigration. Saying Trump pushed left on LGBT, abortion is fair, but Trump has never really cared about these. The gay debate ended by force from the Supreme Court. The same thing was true in the 60s. Nixon couldn’t do much about assimilation because the court ordered it, so he accepted it (for some reason the e-right thinks he didn’t). As far as abortion goes, Trump already did what he set out to do on abortion. He got Roe repealed. He’s always refrained from answering what he would do in response to a national abortion ban. “I wouldn’t need to veto anything because that would never get passed” and such and such.
We’ll see what happens with the curry visas. I’m not a fan, I am the STEMcel who will be hurt by such a thing. It’s difficult to say — Trump doesn’t exactly care about being honest on campaign. Openly calling for mass deportation, bringing up “bad genes” on public TV, and selecting a vice president who follows race scientists and fascists on Twitter is actually better than the rhetoric from 2016, it just felt more jarring in 2016.
Trump does much more pandering to the religious right than he did in 2016. Also, Jews have always been in conservative circles. Neoconservatism is more Jewish than Western Marxism — an incredible feat. The proliferation of Indians and “Insane Clown Party” figures under Trump’s watch is concerning. And you are correct that this has attracted some minorities.
I am still confident that Mexicans won’t swing right ever, but I’ll talk about this in my own post analyzing the exit polls. Mexicans are probably swinging right because A) ICP shenanigans, B) getting fed up with the afrolatry of the DNC. But Hispanics are bound to eventually shift left as they assimilate.