Why not make predictions? The worst that can happen is some of the predictions might be wrong, and it's not like any money is being bet on the predictions. And even Nate Silver seemed to be wrong about the closeness of the last presidential election. So, yeah, I like these predictions.
Iran can become friendlier to America and Israel. But a war with Iran will ruin those chances completely. Foiling Iranian ambitions abroad will have a better outcome.
Also, many Iranians are discontent with their government. Two Supreme Court Justices were shot by a janitor. Not to mention that younger Iranians are increasingly secular.
Working with moderates and a containment strategy could work, a war will only set things back. Consider the Iran Iraq War.
I agree, I'm against war with Iran, and I'll release an essay on it when it enters the newscycle, as it surely will over the next 4 years. I think Democrats have better foreign policy. My intention in this devil's advocacy was to suspend disbelief and imagine the best case scenario for the hawks.
“Anderson, who has written about Trump’s effect on legal immigration, wrote in a January column for Forbes that after Trump took office, the denial rate for applications for H1-B visas for initial employment rose to 24% for the 2018 fiscal year and 21% in 2019; meanwhile, denial rates for H1-B visa renewals went up 12% in 2018 and 2019.”
Great article. I think in addition to a physically fit warrior class we want to grant AA to, we should also do the same for exceptionally intelligent young men from the middle/lower classes. Extremely intelligent, capable students far above their peers should be pulled out of public schools and put into the best private schools, regardless of class or race, with no questions asked. Letting them languish in the public school system, as we do currently, seems like such a waste of good human capital.
My form of AA for poor/middle class students is to make college free, and after that, to grant all students UBI -- pay them to study, as a job. I agree that a tiered school system, with an earlier starting age for college (16-17) would be helpful.
Why not make predictions? The worst that can happen is some of the predictions might be wrong, and it's not like any money is being bet on the predictions. And even Nate Silver seemed to be wrong about the closeness of the last presidential election. So, yeah, I like these predictions.
Iran can become friendlier to America and Israel. But a war with Iran will ruin those chances completely. Foiling Iranian ambitions abroad will have a better outcome.
Also, many Iranians are discontent with their government. Two Supreme Court Justices were shot by a janitor. Not to mention that younger Iranians are increasingly secular.
Working with moderates and a containment strategy could work, a war will only set things back. Consider the Iran Iraq War.
I agree, I'm against war with Iran, and I'll release an essay on it when it enters the newscycle, as it surely will over the next 4 years. I think Democrats have better foreign policy. My intention in this devil's advocacy was to suspend disbelief and imagine the best case scenario for the hawks.
How well do you think this has held up two and a half weeks later?
"8 million Indians"
You're already wrong about that: https://x.com/David_J_Bier/status/1881535971008889212
have you ever heard of the supreme court? were you born in 2020 or something? You don't remember Trump's Muslim ban?
I remember when Trump lowered legal immigration. Wrong again award.
He didn't, immigration remained higher under Trump than under Obama.
That’s wrong, even CATO retards admit this, because they were seething over it. Wrong again.
"The Obama administration also deported 409,849 people in 2012 alone, while the Trump administration has yet to deport more than 260,000 people ..."
https://docs.house.gov/meetings/GO/GO00/20200109/110349/HHRG-116-GO00-20200109-SD007.pdf
We are talking about legal immigration here. I had a better source but I can’t find it right now, so I will just leave this:
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna151994
“Anderson, who has written about Trump’s effect on legal immigration, wrote in a January column for Forbes that after Trump took office, the denial rate for applications for H1-B visas for initial employment rose to 24% for the 2018 fiscal year and 21% in 2019; meanwhile, denial rates for H1-B visa renewals went up 12% in 2018 and 2019.”
The stuff you sent about Obama though, conflates data, read this: https://cis.org/Feere/Fact-Check-Reuters-Wrong-Biden-Not-Deporting-More-Illegal-Aliens-Trump
It’s about Biden mostly, but the same arguments apply.
Great article. I think in addition to a physically fit warrior class we want to grant AA to, we should also do the same for exceptionally intelligent young men from the middle/lower classes. Extremely intelligent, capable students far above their peers should be pulled out of public schools and put into the best private schools, regardless of class or race, with no questions asked. Letting them languish in the public school system, as we do currently, seems like such a waste of good human capital.
My form of AA for poor/middle class students is to make college free, and after that, to grant all students UBI -- pay them to study, as a job. I agree that a tiered school system, with an earlier starting age for college (16-17) would be helpful.