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Peter Rabbit's avatar

Im actually quite optimistic about Ukraine. Z will f-up a peace deal big, we've had credible queues that the Kremlin takes liberal fearmongering on Trump as canon. They will be maximalists, refuse the first draft offered by Trump. He will feel personally humiliated and do in a year what Biden and rest of them hadnt done in 4. The war wont end in 2025. Maybe not even 2026. After that is anyone's guess.

The AI bit is easy. If AI implodes, there will be a few billions in bailouts and within a year no-one outside of the Bay will care. If AI works, just give people money. As long as swing-voters have cash in their hands or some make-work job, it doesnt matter.

The rest you might be correct, but I have no way to access rn, so will just take your word for it!

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Travis's avatar

I'm more hawkish than you. I think the US can win Ukraine and Iran with little cost.

We don't need to do "democracy building" in Iran either. Take the head off, destroy the military, and the repressed population will take over. The protests proved they're ready.

Knocking out these two authoritarian governments would be huge for the world. I don't think Trump is talented enough, but wouldn't it be nice? -- queue The Beach Boys

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