Invading Haiti
The First 100 Days.
On January 21st, 2028, the Deep Left president would give the order to invade Haiti.1
In 2003, 590k personnel participated in the invasion of Iraq, a country of 26 million. Adjusting for population, Haiti should require (at maximum) 267k personnel. But this is a huge overestimate, since:
Iraq has an average IQ of 80, while Haiti has an average IQ of 67;
Prior to the invasion, the Iraqi government had stockpiles of modern weaponry, including jets and tanks. Haiti has nothing.
Let’s investigate how much money Iraq spent on its military per year. Data after Saddam’s takeover in 1979 is scarce, but there’s reasonable evidence to assume that he spent 5% of GDP per year on the military. Iraqi GDP in 2002 was $33 billion, so this comes out to $1.65 billion in military spending ($2.97 billion in 2025), with a total troop count of 375,000 soldiers.
In comparison, Haiti has a total of 10,000 cops and 1,300 soldiers, as of 2025.2 The total budget of the Haitian military is, at most, $73 million dollars. We should assume that most of this goes to corruption and graft.
Given that the Haitian troops are 3.5% the size and 2.5% the budget of Saddam’s army, it’s reasonable to assume that Haiti could be conquered and occupied with less than 30,000 American troops. Assuming that the Iraq War cost $1.5 trillion, we should expect an invasion of Haiti to cost, at most, $74 billion, or 8.5% of the yearly operating budget of the military. The invasion of Iraq took 43 days, so we should expect the invasion of Haiti to be over in roughly 48 hours, by January 24th.
