A Tale of Two Deep States
There are two Deep States: the Blue State and the Red State.
The year is 2009. Barack Obama has just been inaugurated. The global economy is shaky. China’s growth is impressive. “Emerging economies” are growing faster than the first world. Dugin is developing his theory of “multi-polarity,” which appeals to some who see the “American superpower” as too fragile. Should the global economy be so dependent on the Americans that a housing crash can bring everything down? This is when “Satoshi” begins developing the theoretical basis for Bitcoin.
Epstein, as soon as he gets wind of this, concocts a scheme to turn Russia into a crypto superpower. I am not clear on whether he meant this seriously, or as a way to rug-pull Putin. If we assume that Bitcoin is a Red-State scheme, then it sounds like a rug-pull. Otherwise, Epstein genuinely believed that Bitcoin was the new gold, and by hoarding Bitcoin reserves, Russia would become the new financial capital of the world.
So you have this four year period, from 2009 to 2013, the “Russian reset,” when Epstein, as a major player within the Blue-State, is trying making Russia into a financial superpower. Either Russia could be brought into NATO, or NATO could be abolished and replaced with a bipolar Russian-American alliance. The goal of all this is to counter China, which is clearly growing at an unprecedented rate, and will soon overtake America by 2030. The entire point of this plan is to isolate and surround China. TPP is meant to encircle and contain China.
As all of this is happening, the Russians have other ideas. They were not happy with Bush’s opposition to their war in Georgia, and this pissed them off. They came up with a plan to take Crimea in 2014, which changed everything. Now, of course, you can play the blame game -- the Russians only did this in response to the Maidan. Fair enough. Victoria Nuland went wild.
Looking back, the split between Epstein and Nuland is really a split within the Blue-State. Epstein was a Democrat who supported Russia; Nuland was a Democrat who opposed Russia. Epstein allied with Thiel and Musk in wanting to break up the EU; Nuland saw the EU as an institution worth preserving and expanding into Ukraine. Two very different strategies.
After 2014, the Democratic Party radically turned away from Russia and began expelling the Russia shills from amongst its ranks. This was a process -- people like Tulsi stubbornly resisted until 2020. But she was a small minority of the party by that point. The 2016 election was a decisive victory for the Nuland side, and a defeat for the Epstein side.
As a result of their mass expulsion and purging from the Blue-State, these former “Epstein Democrats” fled to the Republican Party. Epstein himself was neither willing nor able to do this, due to his unique and personal hatred of Donald Trump. Still, Epstein was best friends with Steve Bannon. If you look at who Noam Chomsky is closest to in the “non-interventionist” crowd, you get Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs, both of whom end up being “de-facto” Trump supporters, even if they claim to be independents. You can call them “high brow Roganites” in the sense that they may not vote Republican, but only Republicans are interested in them. Glenn Greenwald is somewhere between Mearsheimer and Rogan in IQ.
The pivotal years, then, are 2013 to 2015 in terms of shifting the Epstein Blue-State into the Trump Red-State. It’s during this time that -- surprise surprise -- the alt-right is founded.
Technically you could go all the way back to 2008 if you really wanted to look deeply into the characters involved. Jared Taylor, Richard Spencer, Peter Brimelow, John Derbyshire, Greg Johnson et al. were all up-and-running at this point. But it wasn’t until the Trayvon case in 2011 and the Ferguson Riots of 2014 that the alt-right was really able to get off the ground and begin “red-pilling normies.”
Part of this is because the Russians pulled the plug on anarcho-capitalism after the dismal failures of Ron Paul. His campaign in 2008 was quite successful, but in 2012, he fell flat. Too old. The mass exodus of libertarians from Ron Paul to alt-right was at least in part directed or boosted by Russian influence channels and networks. The bot networks were slow to move; things didn’t go “viral,” but there were some downstream channels afoot.
In 2011, it wasn’t called the “Alt-Right,” it was called “the European New Right.” This included Angela Merkel’s CDU, Sarkozy and Le Pen, Nick Griffin of the BNP, Berlusconi of Italy, and the Golden Dawn of Greece. All these right-wing actors were working hand-in-hand with the Russians, and they all provided inspiration for the “alt-right.” The idea was that Russia and Europe would combine into a European super-state, which America would support by getting the hell out of the way. Eventually, after the Americans apologized for entering WWII, they might be let into the “European super-state,” which would henceforth be known as “the Ethnostate.”
It’s a cute little idea! The problem is that in 2014, there was a major migrant crisis in Europe, and the “right-wing” Europeans fell apart. Merkel’s comments on multiculturalism were forgotten as she opened the borders. European cultural unity was no more. Now, Europe was “woke,” and Russia was “sane.” Hence it was America and Russia which needed to “team up” to save the “woke Europeans” before they destroyed themselves. The first step would be to break up the EU, which started with Brexit in 2015. We know how that worked out.
But yes, Brexit was supported by Epstein. He’s a unique character in the sense that it is now difficult to imagine a Democrat who supports Russia and Putin and Brexit. We could say he was part of the “Tulsi wing.” The ultimate goal of these people was always to destroy China at all costs, even if that meant giving Putin everything he wanted.
Weirdly, in 2012, it was Romney who was fighting this “Tulsi wing,” and Obama who was defending it. Again, the “Red-Blue division” on the Russian question only came after 2014 for most of these people. It was at that point that Hillary led the charge in becoming Russia critical, and forced the party to follow suit, while the outcasts moved toward the Republican Party.
Bannon was a really strange guy in that he basically created or at least foreshadowed the modern Republican Party, to a tee. But at first, he was also a weird outcast and totally divorced from the mainstream of the party. Going back even further, one can see a continuity between Bannon and Patrick Buchanan or even Ron Paul. The Tea Party Movement was probably Russian influenced to a degree.
Everything that has happened since 2014 has just been a hardening of these two sides. The Blue-State becomes more and more anti-Russia, and by extension, more pro-China. The Red-State becomes more and more anti-China, and by extension, more pro-Russia. Eventually, you get Vance yelling at Zelensky.
The relationship of Israel to Russia is complicated. Since so many Israelis are of Russian descent, this has allowed the Russians to implant a massive number of foreign agents into Israel. Many of Israelis billionaires have Russian passports. The ties are so close, at least on a business level, that Russia has significant leverage over Israeli politics. Combine this with the fact that Russia’s only military base in the Middle East is in Syria, just north of Israel.
Since Carter, Democrats have been a marginally less pro-Israel party. Contrary to the Fuentes-Groyper narrative, JFK was not meaningfully anti-Israel at all, at least not in public. Bobby Kennedy was killed for sending jets to Israel. It’s funny to me that Fuentes thinks JFK was anti-Israel, and therefore killed, but Carter... somehow gets away with it? And Clinton too? Maybe the Israelis got scared? But I thought Jewish power grows every day? It’s hard to keep track of all these baseless assertions.
Anyway, Clinton pissed off the Israelis, as did Obama, and the Iran nuclear deal was the last straw. Trump was elected on a pro-Russia, pro-Israel ticket, which meant that the Democrats were (effectively) the anti-Russia, anti-Israel ticket. Of course it doesn’t look that way from the ground floor, but politics is directional, not absolute. Factions make coalitional decisions based on maximalist demands and eventual compromises.
2020 was the revenge of the left, because Trump was genuinely a fluke and not liked by the voters. One might even speculate that China released the virus to crash the global economy so that Trump would be voted out of office -- that’s how badly China hated Trump and wanted him out. It’s not that his tariffs were too high, it’s that he was too friendly with the Russians. China fears, above all, a Russian-American alliance.
When Biden won in November 2020, Putin decided that he needed to invaded Ukraine within 15 months. This wasn’t a secret among the American military, but Biden, I think, withheld this info from the public to make the invasion more “shocking.” He wanted to stress that the invasion was “irrational, crazy, outside the rules based order.” I’m not sure I agree with this strategy. I would have preferred more saber rattling and warnings.
We are now 4 years into an endless war in Europe. Trump is prevented by the Blue-State from truly cutting off Ukraine. What’s the future?
The Red-State still believes that Russia can be coaxed into an alliance with America against China. The Blue State is refusing to budge. In response, Red-Staters cry about white genocide and evil Jews. The Blue State does not care.
If Vance gets in in 2028, I expect a total Blue State collapse. Vance will essentially fire everyone in the state department who is not a Red Stater, leading to the complete collapse of the EU and Ukraine. Far right parties will win all across Europe. You might even see “free speech laws” which legalize Holocaust denial and swastikas. Mass deportations will come to Europe. Many in the alt-right will see this as a victory, although I think Europe’s economy will continue to decline, and its demographics will worsen. Russia will bully states like Romania and the Baltics into joining the CIS, which will come to eclipse the EU.
More likely is a Democrat in 2028, which leads to the opposite purge. Far right parties will win, but their win will be short lived and controlled, similar to Geert Wilders in the Netherlands. In the long-run, I predict that Peter Zeihan will be wrong, that China will not collapse, and AI will fundamentally change the global economy.
More of this, please. Also, keep finishing your drafts, friend.